Musings on everyday probability
I spend a lot of time playing ultimate frisbee, so once we get to the math, this post will focus on that. However, the general idea is the same for many sports. In football, soccer, and basketball, what kind of advantage does starting on offense confer?
Covid is (slowly) fading away.
Air quality today in New York is horrid, but the fire is very far away.
I'm not sure anyone is worrying about Covid anymore, but...
I hate it when an article is advocating something I agree with (better safety for cyclists and pedestrians) but then backs up its point with a terrible data analysis.
The new Omicron Boosters are available. Should you get one?
There's no reason to require boosters for kids. See our article in Tablet.
Boosters in young children are unproven and should not have been authorized or recommended.
Some of this article, written a few weeks ago, is becoming relevant again due to restrictions in Camps and other summer programs.
A statistical estimate usually has little meaning without some context.
There's now a good deal of data regarding public use of masks, and it indicates they are either useless or barely have an effect.
How are hospitals doing?
Trouble has brewed.
New York City is starting to sound like March 2020.
The big mystery is how mild Omicron is.