What Are the Chances?

Voting is thought of as the most important civic duty.  But does your one vote really count?  I mean, how many elections are won by just a vote?  Certainly not many.  Yet, I just read that in Virginia...

The New York Times reported today that "Blacks and Hispanics are more underrepresentated at top colleges than 35 years ago."  Is this correct? The short...

Any time there is even a ghost of a chance of snow, my three kids get very excited (ok, let's face it, being a southern transplant to NY, so do I).  We go to https://www.snowdaycalculator.com in the h...

Is there any advantage to calling the coin toss in the Super Bowl?  It doesn't appear so, as in the 49 games to date, tails has come up 25 times and heads has come up 24 (

A couple years back, I wrote on the chances of various "splits" in bridge (and explained why this is something bridge players care about) in 

The NY Times answers it

I play a lot of Ultimate Frisbee, a game akin to football in that there are end zones, but akin to soccer in that there is constant action until someone scores.  In Ultimate, you can only advance by t...

For the last year or so, I used my other site for blogging.  You can find those posts at www.what-are-the-chances.blogspot.com .  

I feel like I've written this too many times, but here we go again. There was a splendid article in the 

I have been working with Joe Jansen on the Citibike data in the R Language.  Citibike is New York's bike sharing program, which started in may and currently has...

If you know how to play bridge, skip to the fourth paragraph! In bridge, 13 cards are dealt to each of 4 players (so all 52 cards are dealt).  Players sitting across from each other are...

A North Slope real estate broker (named North) is trying to convince you that North Slope is a more affluent neighborhood than South Slope.  To prove it, he explains that professionals in North Slope...

One reason for quotes like there are "there are lies, damn lies, and statistics" is because of graphs like these:  

With the upcoming election, I have been following my favorite prediction site: electoral-vote.com.  That site has a big map showing current predictions state-b...

About a year ago, I read a book called "Born to Run," by Christopher McDougall, who last week wrote