Musings on everyday probability
An article and accompanying graph in the New York Times claims that low-skilled workers are not gaining the advantage they once were by moving to big cities. But it misses something important, calling the whole claim into question.
In the third quarter of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals last week, Boston missed all 14 3-pointers they attempted. This led the announcer to say something like, "by the law of averages, they are bound to improve." But will they?