Musings on everyday probability
If we get to herd immunity, we can stop worrying (mostly) about virus spread. What is herd immunity and are we there yet?
A promised, but not promising, update that looks at COVID in the South.
Since the George Floyd protests began, we have not had an uptick.
For now, the answer appears to be yes.
Wearing a mask or not wearing a mask has become political, with little attention paid to the science of whether and when it is necessary. It's not clear-cut.
We've been shut down for 2 months. We can re-open safely with this plan.
Based on the data, I think we could.
There are dramatic differences in the chances of dying by age.
It's one of the most important questions, but unfortunately far from solved.
The data is not great but it looks like NY State has peaked, and perhaps the U.S. has too, but what does that mean?
Josh looks at two cities, who closed up at different times, to see the effect.
The data gives us more good news.
There may be some good news today.
Josh will tell us about R0, the base reproduction number of a disease, and why we need to worry about it.
Washington State continues to flatten. Not so for other states.