Musings on everyday probability
Spring is in the air.
Several states have made vaccinating by age a priority. Those that have not are seeing the effects.
AZ and Pfizer are making the mistake of gilding the lily.
Still: all good news.
Everything about COVID is looking better.
In the US, the state-by-state approach rarely mattered.
The worst is behind us (barely). Time for a lockdown?
Vacation is over. It looks like COVID rates are now dropping.
There are enormous differences in risk by age.
Our vaccination plan is awful.
This news is very good.
December will almost surely be the worst month yet. How bad?
What can we expect the next few weeks?
Actually, not so bad.
The polls are sometimes close. But they don't get it right. Why not?